Oscar Predictions Or The Time 'Fences' Crashed The Race [UPDATED]

Denzel Washngton's "Fences" had it premere this past Saturday for academy members, critics and blogaroonies. The reaction? Overwhelmingly positive.You can read all about it HERE. What's left to screen? Robert Zemeckis' "Allied" (this week!), Ben Affleck's "Live By Night" (next week!),  Stepehen Gaghan's "Gold" (next week!), Peter Berg's Patriots Day (Closing the AFI Fest), Martin Scorsese's "Silence" (WHO KNOWS).

"Fences" is a brave, passionate film that will likely give "La La Land" many headaches on its way to the Best Picture Oscar DITTO Denzel for Best Actor against Casey Affleck. Viola Davis also seems to be the front-runner for the Best Supporting Actress race.

Martin Scorsese's film has NO poster, NO trailer, NO official running time and is STILL being edited as we speak.


11.6.16

Best Picture

FRONTRUNNERS

1) "La La Land"
2) "Fences"
3) "Manchester By The Sea"

4) "Silence"

5) "Sully"

6) "Lion"

7) "Loving"

8) "Jackie"
9) "Arrival"

10) "Moonlight"

MAJOR THREATS

Hidden Figures
Patriots Day
Hacksaw Ridge
Florence Foster Jenkins
Arrival
20th Century Women

Best Actor

FRONTRUNNERS

1) Denzel Washington, "Fences"

2) Casey Affleck, "Manchester By the Sea"

3) Tom Hanks, "Sully"

4) Ryan Gosling "La La Land"

5) Michael Keaton, "The Founder"

MAJOR THREATS

Viggo Mortensen, "Captain Fantastic"
Joel Edgerton, "Loving"

Andrew Garfield, "Silence"

Dev Patel, "Lion"
Miles Teller, "Bleed For This"

Best Actress

FRONTRUNNERS

1) Emma Stone, "La La Land"

2) Natalie Portman, "Jackie"

3) Amy Adams, "Arrival"

4) Ruth Negga, "Loving"

5) Isabelle Huppert, "Elle"

MAJOR THREATS

Taraji P Henson, "Hidden Figures"

Meryl Streep "Florence Foster Jenkins"

Jessica Chastain, "Miss Sloane"

Annette Benning, "20th Century Women"

Best Supporting Actor 


FRONTRUNNERS

1) Mahershala Ali, "Moonlight" 

2) Michael Shannon, "Nocturnal Animals" 

3) Jeff Bridges, "Hell or High Water"

4) Lucas Hedges, "Manchester By the Sea"

5) Aaron Eckhart, "Bleed For This"

MAJOR THREATS

Liam Neeson, "Silence"

Ben Foster, "Hell or High Water"

Hugh Grant, "Florence Foster Jenkins"

Stephen Mckinley Henderson, "Fences"

Dev Patel, "Lion"

Best Supporting Actress


1) Viola Davis, "Fences" 
2) Michelle Williams, "Manchester By the Sea"

3) Naomie Harris, "Moonlight"

4) Nicole Kidman, "Lion"

5) Octavia Spencer, "Hidden Figures"

Felicity Jones "A Monster Calls"

Margo Martindale, "The Hollars"

Molly Shannon, "Other People"

Helen Mirren, "Eye in the Sky"

Lupita Nyong'o, "Queen of Katwe"
Janaelle Monae, "Hidden Figures"

Best Director

FRONTRUNNERS

1) Damien Chazelle, "La La Land"

2) Kenneth Lonergan, "Manchester By the Sea'

3) Denzel Washington, "Fences"

4) Martin Scorsese, "Silence"
5) Barry Jenkins, "Moonlight"

POSSIBLE THREATS

Mel Gibson "Hacksaw Ridge"

Pablo Larrain, "Jackie"

Paul Verhoeven, "Elle"

Clint Eastwood, "Sully"

Jeff Nichols, "Loving"

Best Foreign Language Film

"Elle"
"Toni Erdmann"
"Neruda"
"The Salesman"
"Under the Shadow"
"From Afar"
"Fire At Sea"
"The Age of Shadows"
"Julieta"
"Land of Mine"

Best Animated Film

"Zootopia"
"Kubo and the Two Strings"
"Finding Dory"
"Moana"
"The Red Turtle"
"Sing"

Best Documentary Feature

"OJ: Made in America"
"The 13th"
"Lo and Behold"
"Before the Flood"
"Weiner"
"Gleason"
"Cameraperson"
"Jim: The James Foley Story"
"Amanda Knox"
"Zero Days"