Media accreditation has now opened for the 75th edition of the Cannes Film Festival. As it stands, the Festival is saying that to attend you will need to be triple vaccinated and show proof of it. As we’ve learned, these things can rapidly change, and Cannes still being almost four months away means a lot of dynamics could change between now and opening night on May 17th.

On a side note, before I get to the bigger story here, Bertrand Bonello (“Nocturama”), whose latest film “Coma” is being critically-hailed at Berlin, will not be able to complete his next film, “The Beast,” in time for Cannes in May.

What will also not be ready for Cannes 2022 is Nuri Bilge Ceylan’s “On Barren Weeds”. According to “Hanimal”, the film still needs to shoot more outdoor winter shots. This is a blow to the fest as it surely had an open competition slot ready for Ceylan’s latest. The Turkish filmmaker, who has become a staple of the Festival with his 2014 Palme d’Or winner “Winter Sleep,” and other prize winners such as “Once Upon A Time in Anatolia” and “Distant,” will be opting for a 2023 premiere instead.

As of 02/14/21, here’s how the race for Cannes official competition is shaping up:

CERTAINTIES/HIGH-POSSIBILITIES

Baby, Box, Broker — Hirokazu Kore-eda 
Triangle of Sadness — Ruben Ostlund
Decision to Leave — Park Chan-wook
Bardo - Alejandro Gonalez Inarittu
Armageddon Time — James Gray
Crimes of the Future — David Cronenberg 
Showing Up — Kelly Reichardt
Tori et Lokita — Jean-Pierre & Luc Dardenne
R.M.N — Cristian Mungiu
Asteroid City — Wes Anderson
École de l’air — Robin Campillo
Monica — Kantemir Balagov
Passengers — Ira Sachs
Close — Lukas Dhont
Frere et Soeur — Arnaud Desplechin
Eureka — Lisandro Alonso
Anatomy of a Fall — Justine Triet
Damian Szifron — Misanthrope
Saint-Omer — Alice Diop

VERY POSSIBLE

Untitled — Jia Zhangke Project
Untitled — Jean-Luc Godard
L'Envol— Pietro Marcello
Untitled — Na Hong-Jin
The Eternal Daughter — Joanna Hogg
Le Lyceen — Christophe Honoré

LONGSHOTS

The Zone of Interest — Jonathan Glazer
The Son — Florian Zeller
The Perfumed Hill — Abderrahmane Sissako
Revoir Paris — Alice Winocour
Three Thousand Years of Longing — George Miller
Nope — Jordan Peele